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Letter: Premier's math doesn’t add up for vehicle targets

The Editor, Re. “Cars and trucks sold in B.C. by 2040 will be zero-emission: government” (tricitynews.com).
car

The Editor,

Re. “Cars and trucks sold in B.C. by 2040 will be zero-emission: government” (tricitynews.com).

Premier John Horgan may want to do some back-of-the-napkin calculations on the 2040 target for only zero-emission new vehicles to be sold in B.C.

Here is mine (note that some of these numbers are from 2016 and that will change by 2040):

• number of class 5 licences: 2,620,000;

• average distance driven per year: 15,000 km;

• average electrical consumption of an electric vehicle: 18.7 kilowatt hours (kWh)/100 km (based on the Nissan Leaf);

Thus, 15,000 km times 18.7 kWh equals 2,805 kW/h per year; multiply that by 2,620,000 class 5 licences equals 7.35 trillion kW/h per year.

Currently, B.C. produces a maximum of 54 gigawatt hours — or 54 billion kWh — per year.

Thus, given the projected need of 7.35 trillion kWh/year and the current electricity production of 54 billion kWh/year, B.C. would have to produce 136 times more energy for Horgan and the NDP’s vision to come true.

David Noga, Coquitlam